PredPol is Predictive Policing

PredPol’s mission is to provide a crime prevention platform to keep communities safer. Our secure, cloud-based technology places public safety officers at the right time and location to give them the best chance of preventing crime.

PredPol grew out of a research project between the Los Angeles Police Department and UCLA. The chief at the time, Bill Bratton, wanted to find a way to use CompStat data for more than just historical purposes. The goal was to understand if this data could provide any forward-looking recommendations as to where and when additional crimes could occur. Being able to anticipate these crime locations and times could allow officers to pre-emptively deploy and help prevent these crimes.

Working with mathematicians and behavioral scientists from UCLA and Santa Clara University, the team evaluated a wide variety of data types and behavioral and forecasting models. The models were further refined with crime analysts and officers from LAPD and the Santa Cruz Police Department. They ultimately determined that the three most objective data points collected by police departments provided the best input data for forecasting:

  • Crime type
  • Crime location
  • Crime date and time

The current PredPol platform represents a significant investment of over 70 research-years of PhD-level analysis, modeling and development. It has been tested and proven in dozens of departments of all sizes in multiple countries around the world.

“The theory is that you prevent them from committing the crime to begin with…Burglars and thieves work in a mathematical way, whether they know it or not.” Modesto Police Chief Galen Carroll (Modesto Bee, July 27, 2014)

Only What, Where and When – Not Who

PredPol uses only three data points in making predictions: past type of crime, place of crime and time of crime. It uses no personal information about individuals or groups of individuals, eliminating any personal liberties and profiling concerns.

For many jurisdictions, predictive policing strategy encourages patrol officers to work as partners with communities in the locations where crime is most likely to occur. PredPol is one of the tools to guide location-based strategies in which law enforcement officers communicate and build relationships with residents to engage them in community crime watch efforts.